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If there ever comes a day when I quit fantasy baseball, pitchers like Oliver Perez will be the reason. Well, that or the owner in my league who has the world's most irrational man-crush on Josh Beckett. But that's a story for another time.
Guys like Perez, immensely talented yet incredibly inconsistent, are enough to drive fantasy owners to drink. Really, you never know what you're going to get on any given day.
I call them the Matt Cain All-Stars.
They could throw a two-hit shutout with 14 strikeouts in one start, then get lit up for 10 runs in one inning the next time out. Eventually you learn to accept your fate with these pitchers and keep a bottle of antacids handy just in case they walk the first five batters of the game.
Cain, of course, is the captain of the team. The Giants right-hander has some of the most nasty stuff in the majors, yet control problems have kept him from evolving into the true ace that teammate Tim Lincecum has become.
Baltimore's Daniel Cabrera belongs on the team. As does Toronto's A.J. Burnett, the Angels' Jered Weaver, and the Mets' John Maine. Even, some might say, Boston's Daisuke Matsuzaka, whose dominant stuff usually covers up for his maddening tendency to nibble around the plate and walk four or five batters a game.
Perez, as you may have guessed, is a longtime member of the club. He's been an enigma since his rookie year with the Padres in 2002, when he struck out 94 batters in 90 innings and had a 3.50 ERA. After getting dealt to Pittsburgh, Perez became a fantasy favorite in 2004 when he struck out 239 batters in 196 innings and sported a 2.98 ERA.
A high draft pick the next season, Perez walked 70 batters in 103 innings, had a 5.85 ERA and was eventually traded to the Mets in 2006 after struggling to regain that 2004 form.
Then, just as owners were about to give up on him, Perez turned in a 15-10 season with the Mets last year with a 3.56 ERA and 174 strikeouts.
This season has been particularly inconsistent for Perez, who didn't allow a single run in his first two starts. Then, without warning, he allowed at least five runs in four of his next five starts as his ERA ballooned to 4.63. Things bottomed out on June 2 at San Francisco, when the punchless Giants got to Perez for six runs in just 1/3 of an inning, leaving his ERA at 5.70.
Of course, this being Oliver Perez, he has since turned into one of the game's hottest pitchers. Perez (6-6, 4.15 ERA) struck out 12 batters in Thursday's win over the Phillies, allowing one run in 7 2/3 innings. Over his last five starts, the left-hander has a 1.33 ERA and has struck out 39 batters in 33 2/3 innings. The only downside? He is just 1-1 in those five starts.
Still, Perez owners will take it. You never know when that roller coaster is going to come crashing down, so no-decisions are the least of their problems.
Covering the bases
* ESPN is reporting that the Braves have interest in trading for Royals OF Jose Guillen, which is surprising since he's still owed over $28 million through 2010. A switch to Atlanta would greatly boost his fantasy value, however. The report said Jeff Francoeur could be headed to KC.
* The Yankees and Rockies are among the teams reportedly interested in Reds SP Bronson Arroyo, who is 5-0 with a 3.09 ERA in five starts since allowing 10 runs against Toronto on June 24. He's another member of the Matt Cain All-Stars, come to think of it.
* It looks like Jeff Baker (.297-7-34) has earned the everyday second-base job in Colorado. He's hit 14-for-27 (.529) over the past seven games and is also eligible at first base and outfield in many leagues.
* According to published reports, a host of teams, including the Red Sox, have expressed interest in Oakland closer Huston Street. Street's fantasy value could take a big dip depending on which team he gets dealt to. Put it this way: He won't be closing instead of somebody like Jonathan Papelbon.
* Braves SP Tim Hudson thinks he'll make his next start after coming out of Wednesday's game with elbow tightness. Hudson improved to 11-7 with a 3.17 ERA after throwing six shutout innings against Florida.
The fine line
Jamie Moyer, SP, Phillies: 7 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 6 K. Do you realize that Moyer will turn 46 in November? He shut down the Mets on Thursday and got a no-decision, but he's having one of the most underrated seasons in baseball. Moyer (9-6, 3.76 ERA) is now 3-3 with a 2.67 ERA in his last nine starts. Not bad, old man.
Posted by Frank Coppola at July 24, 2008 06:15 PM
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